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JPY - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.2684 / 5.4513
vs USD 144.00 / 149.00
Japan's real wages (excluding inflation) fell 1.3% year-on-year in June, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline. Wage growth has not kept pace with inflation. This has reinforced market expectations that the Bank of Japan will resume raising interest rates. Technically, the USD/JPY has a support at 144
EUR - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 8.8704 / 9.2629
vs USD 1.13 / 1.18
Eurozone retail sales surged 3.1% year-on-year in June, reflecting a favorable interest rate and inflationary environment that has helped boost regional consumption and economic performance. Technically, the key resistance for EUR/USD is around the 1.18 level.
GBP - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 10.2834 / 10.6759
vs USD 1.31 / 1.36
The Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 5-4 to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% after its interest rate meeting on Thursday. The statement reiterated that the rate cut will be "gradual and cautious." Technically, the resistance for GBP/USD is around 1.36.
AUD - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.0239 / 5.2594
vs USD 0.64 / 0.67
Thanks to a surge in coal exports, Australia's exports surged 6% month-on-month in June. The trade surplus also rose to A$5.36 billion during the period, reflecting a positive trade performance. AUD/USD resistance at 76.4% Fibonacci about 67 US cents.
NZD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.5529 / 4.7884
vs USD 0.58 / 0.61
New Zealand's unemployment rate rose to 5.2% in the second quarter, a five-year high. This data reinforces market expectations that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will need to cut interest rates further. Technically, NZD/USD faces next key resistance at 61 cents.
CAD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.6071 / 5.8147
vs USD 1.35 / 1.40
OPEC+ agreed to increase crude oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September. The news dragged down the price of Canada's main export crude oil. Technically, the support for USD/CAD is around the bottom of the Bollinger Band at approximately 1.35.
CNH - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 1.0857 / 1.1056
vs USD 7.10 / 7.23
The IMF has raised its forecast for mainland China's economic growth this year and next year to 4.8% and 4.2% respectively. The market is anticipating that the central government will continue to implement stabilizing economic policies.
CHF - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.4577 / 9.9366
vs USD 0.79 / 0.83
Driven by rising hotel and restaurant prices, Switzerland's CPI rose 0.2% year-on-year in July, marking the second consecutive month of slight inflation, cooling market expectations that the Swiss National Bank will implement a negative interest rate policy.
XAU - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 25,120 / 27,475
vs USD 3,200 / 3,500
The US service sector activity is on the verge of contraction, exacerbating market concerns about the employment outlook. The market is anticipating that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon, which is expected to be beneficial to gold prices. Technically, the key resistance for gold prices is around $3,500.
Uptrend ↗ Sideways → Downtrend ↘
Pertaining to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forecasts.
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