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CAD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.5988 / 5.7089
vs USD 1.37 / 1.40
After US–Canada trade talks collapsed, the US imposed an additional 50% tariff on Canada last Saturday (22nd). Prime Minister Carney announced reciprocal retaliatory tariffs on selected US goods. The deterioration in bilateral trade relations is likely to limit the Canadian dollar’s performance
EUR - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.0140 / 9.2100
vs USD 1.15 / 1.18
The eurozone’s August PMI increased from 52.0 to 52.1, beating forecasts and reaching its highest level since November. Export orders rose for the first time since the Russia–Ukraine conflict began. Markets anticipate further ECB tightening, potentially taking rates to 3% by 2027 and supporting the euro
JPY - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.7795 / 5.1568
vs USD 152.00 / 164.00
Japan’s July CPI has strengthened expectations of a Bank of Japan rate rise in September. However, markets view a single hike as insufficient to sustain yen appreciation. The US–Japan interest rate gap and persistent concerns over Japan’s fiscal outlook are expected to keep the currency constrained
GBP - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 10.5033 / 10.7385
vs USD 1.34 / 1.37
Despite recent signs of recovery in UK data, the Office for National Statistics reported an unexpected £1.8 billion budget deficit in July. The new government’s first budget is likely to face added fiscal constraints, which may cap sterling’s upside and weaken sentiment
AUD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.4868 / 5.6436
vs USD 0.70 / 0.72
Australia’s July employment figures, released last Thursday (20th), showed an unexpected fall in jobs and a slight rise in unemployment to 4.5%, the highest in nearly five years. The softer labour market may reduce the Reserve Bank of Australia’s scope for further rate rises, limiting Australian dollar gains
NZD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.5462 / 4.7030
vs USD 0.58 / 0.60
New Zealand’s Q2 retail sales fell 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, an unexpected decline, while still rising 3.3% year-on-year. A hawkish RBNZ stance and a softer US dollar are supporting the kiwi, which may test resistance near US$0.60 short term
CNH - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 1.1527 / 1.1699
vs USD 6.70 / 6.80
China’s Vice Minister of Finance Liao Min said on last Friday (21st) that, as growth slows, authorities are drafting additional fiscal and financial support for the second half to lift weak domestic demand. These measures are expected to underpin continued strength in the renminbi
CHF - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.5589 / 9.9219
vs USD 0.79 / 0.82
US–Japan joint intervention has supported the yen, alongside rising expectations of rate increases in Japan. By contrast, Switzerland is holding rates at 0%, and the franc’s low-cost, low-volatility profile is prompting markets to use it instead of the yen as the preferred funding currency, limiting franc appreciation
XAU - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD(Oz) 32,921 / 37,624
vs USD(Oz) 4,200 / 4,800
The US Treasury’s unexpected announcement of long-dated bond buybacks suggests the government is keen to prevent long-term yields rising to levels that materially increase funding costs. Continued deterioration in the US fiscal and debt outlook could erode confidence in Treasuries and the dollar system, supporting safe-haven gold
Uptrend ↗ Sideways → Downtrend ↘
*Pertaining to historical technical trend analysis only and do not reflect any forecasts or any forward looking views
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