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XAU - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD(Oz) 34,461 / 36,810
vs USD(Oz) 4,400 / 4,700
Although gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, markets are currently more focused on the interest-rate outlook. Unless the US and Iran reach a lasting ceasefire agreement that drives oil prices lower and eases inflation concerns, gold’s rebound potential may be limited.
NZD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.6209 / 4.7775
vs USD 0.59 / 0.61
Rising expectations of a July rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) briefly drove a sharp rebound in the New Zealand dollar. However, the NZD remains highly sensitive to volatility in global equity markets and oil prices, and risk-off sentiment may limit further upside.
EUR - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.0460 / 9.1634
vs USD 1.16 / 1.17
The eurozone’s final May S&P Manufacturing PMI was revised upwards, easing from the previous 52.2 to 51.6, and coming in above market expectations. The euro is showing signs of stabilising.
JPY - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.8950 / 4.9570
vs USD 158.00 / 160.00
Japan’s seasonally adjusted S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for May was confirmed at 54.5, easing from the prior reading of 55.1, which had marked a 51-month high. Recent data suggest there has been no material improvement in Japan’s economy; the yen remains under pressure, although further downside is still constrained by the risk of official intervention.
GBP - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 10.4949 / 10.6515
vs USD 1.34 / 1.36
Earlier this week, talks between Transport for London (TfL) and the National Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers (RMT) failed to reach an agreement, prompting a London Underground strike. Around half of train drivers took part, causing significant disruption to transport services. This may dampen short-term economic momentum and posing a downside risk to sterling.
AUD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.4824 / 5.6390
vs USD 0.70 / 0.72
With imports of data-centre equipment surging and bulk commodity exports declining, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said net exports will weigh on the economy in the first quarter, reducing Australia’s GDP by 0.8%. The market generally expects Australia’s first-quarter GDP, due to be released this morning, to show year-on-year growth of 2.7%.
CAD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.6345 / 5.8015
vs USD 1.35 / 1.39
Canada’s May S&P Manufacturing PMI eased from 53.3 to 52.9, remaining in expansion for a second consecutive month and signalling that growth is still resilient. However, on news of progress in US–Iran talks, oil prices have fallen for two straight weeks. Combined with Canada’s unexpectedly weak Q1 economic performance, the Canadian dollar may remain soft in the near term.
CNH - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 1.1434 / 1.1552
vs USD 6.78 / 6.85
China’s economy appears less affected by rising energy prices. In addition, market expectations that technology- and AI-related exports could support China’s export growth in both value and volume continue to underpin the renminbi’s recent orderly appreciation.
CHF - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.8516 / 10.1058
vs USD 0.78 / 0.80
Switzerland’s economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter, and manufacturing activity also improved. However, rising energy costs have fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to tackle inflation, supporting the US dollar and potentially limiting the Swiss franc’s relative upside.
Uptrend ↗ Sideways → Downtrend ↘
*Pertaining to historical technical trend analysis only and do not reflect any forecasts or any forward looking views
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