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AUD - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.4041 / 5.6390
vs USD 0.69 / 0.72
Markets are monitoring US–Iran negotiations over the next few days and remain concerned that oil prices could edge higher if blockade measures continue. If talks stall, the Australian dollar is likely to remain range-bound; a meaningful breakthrough, however, could lift it above US$0.72
EUR - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.0851 / 9.3201
vs USD 1.16 / 1.19
US Treasury Secretary Bessent said on Wednesday that the sanctions waiver for Russia’s seaborne crude exports will be extended by 30 days. With the Druzhba pipeline to Central and Eastern Europe back in operation, some European crude demand pressures may ease, although persistently high oil prices continue to constrain the euro
JPY - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.8950 / 4.9727
vs USD 157.50 / 160.00
Ongoing Middle East tensions and elevated oil prices are adding to Japan’s economic headwinds, leading the Bank of Japan to temper its hawkish tone and highlight downside risks to the outlook. The BoJ is expected to hold policy steady at next Tuesday’s meeting, which could keep the yen on the softer side
GBP - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 10.4949 / 10.7298
vs USD 1.34 / 1.37
A UK business activity survey published on Thursday indicated that firms’ input costs posted the steepest quarterly rise in 28 years. With the Middle East conflict likely to push inflation higher, business sentiment has deteriorated, which could put downward pressure on sterling
NZD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.5034 / 4.6992
vs USD 0.58 / 0.60
Moody’s followed Fitch on Wednesday by revising New Zealand’s rating outlook from *stable* to *negative*, citing recent shocks that have increased the debt burden and added pressure to the fiscal outlook. This shift may act as a headwind for the New Zealand dollar
CAD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.5800 / 5.7000
vs USD 1.36 / 1.39
Ontario’s representative to the US, Patterson, said that higher costs driven by steep tariffs will place significant pressure on US businesses, and that the US–Canada trade supply chain is critical to both sides. He expressed confidence that an agreement can be reached with the US within this year, which should support the Canadian dollar
CNH - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 1.1269 / 1.1518
vs USD 6.80 / 6.95
Markets continue to look for a path to de-escalation in the Middle East, with persistent uncertainty providing near-term support for the US dollar. By contrast, China appears less vulnerable to oil-price shocks, and its economic resilience is expected to support renminbi appreciation over the medium to long term
CHF - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.8640 / 10.1058
vs USD 0.78 / 0.79
SNB Governor Schlegel said uncertainty around Switzerland’s inflation outlook remains high, and noted that a rapid, excessive appreciation of the Swiss franc could threaten price stability. He signalled a greater willingness to intervene in FX markets and to adjust policy if required, which should support the franc
XAU - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD(Oz) 36,027 / 39,160
vs USD(Oz) 4,600 / 5,000
US President Trump said on Tuesday he would be disappointed if Warsh, upon taking over as Federal Reserve Chair, did not cut rates immediately. Warsh also called for institutional reforms at the Fed, adding to uncertainty around US monetary policy and likely supporting further strength in gold
Uptrend ↗ Sideways → Downtrend ↘
*Pertaining to historical technical trend analysis only and do not reflect any forecasts or any forward looking views
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