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GBP - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 10.5110 / 10.7463
vs USD 1.34 / 1.37
Recent energy-supply concerns have lifted oil prices and driven demand for the safe-haven US dollar. Higher inflation expectations may prompt faster monetary tightening globally; however, the Bank of England remains cautious, and a slower pace of rate rises than peers could limit sterling gains
EUR - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.0206 / 9.2167
vs USD 1.15 / 1.18
Germany’s and Estonia’s central bank governors said last Friday (11th) that further rate rises remain possible if higher energy costs persist and drive broader euro area inflation. Markets now anticipate an additional European Central Bank increase in December, while the euro has remained broadly stable
JPY - Downtrend↘
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.9025 / 5.1605
vs USD 152.00 / 160.00
Interest-rate futures indicate markets have largely priced in a Bank of Japan rate rise this Friday (18th). However, stronger expectations of a renewed Federal Reserve tightening cycle could undermine hopes of narrowing the US–Japan yield differential, limiting support for the yen and likely exerting downward pressure
AUD - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.4908 / 5.7026
vs USD 0.70 / 0.73
Oil’s sharp rally has strengthened expectations of further global tightening, potentially pressuring the Australian dollar as its rate-differential advantage narrows. However, the Reserve Bank of Australia still signals scope for additional hikes, with markets assigning close to an 80% chance of a September move
NZD - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 4.5181 / 4.7064
vs USD 0.58 / 0.60
Following its September hike, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand signalled only one to two further increases. However, with elevated energy costs making inflation more persistent, markets expect the RBNZ may need to tighten more aggressively, potentially delivering four additional hikes, supporting the NZ dollar
CAD - Downtrend↘
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 5.5631 / 5.7255
vs USD 1.37 / 1.41
Canada’s inflation held at 3% in August, but September’s oil-price surge and US–Canada tariffs may lift inflation ahead, potentially prompting further rate rises. Rapid tightening could strain an already fragile economy, reducing investor confidence and limiting support for the Canadian dollar
CNH - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 1.1535 / 1.1795
vs USD 6.65 / 6.80
The renminbi briefly touched its strongest level versus the US dollar since January 2023. Moderately rising August inflation and resilient export performance have underpinned the currency. Overall, conditions point to continued, orderly appreciation in the renminbi in the near term
CHF - Sideways➡
Support / Resistance
vs HKD 9.5659 / 9.9291
vs USD 0.79 / 0.82
Markets expect the Swiss National Bank to keep policy unchanged for the rest of this year. The policy divergence versus Japan also reinforces the view that the Swiss franc will remain a preferred funding currency, and the franc is likely to stay under pressure
XAU - Uptrend↗
Support / Resistance
vs HKD(Oz) 32,945 / 37,651
vs USD(Oz) 4,200 / 4,800
Poland’s central bank governor, Adam Glapiński, said the country’s gold reserves have increased to 648 tonnes and reaffirmed plans to raise them further to 700 tonnes. The announcement suggests global central-bank demand for gold remains intact, providing some support for gold prices
Uptrend ↗ Sideways → Downtrend ↘
*Pertaining to historical technical trend analysis only and do not reflect any forecasts or any forward looking views
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